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Midterm elections, capital markets, and the economy

Weekly analysis

Read the weekly market analysis

Quarterly outlook

Read the Q4 2026 investment outlook: Fourth quarter events could quickly reshape the path ahead

Trending now

Keep on top of the latest news impacting capital markets.

Federal Reserve building exterior

FEDERAL RESERVE

Fed holds interest rates at 3.75%-4.00% after September hike, with more hikes expected

October 28, 2026
The U.S. Federal Reserve held its policy interest rate in a range of 3.75%-4.00% in October after hiking rates last month for the first time in three years.

Geopolitical conflict and global energy markets

GEOPOLITICS

Geopolitical conflict and its impact on global markets

October 23, 2026
The Iran conflict is moving oil prices as the Russia‑Ukraine war continues, while investors monitor broader market impacts.

Close-up of the rear façade of the White House in Washington, D.C.

WHITE HOUSE

Stocks under the Trump administration: What is driving markets in 2026?

October 22, 2026
Corporate earnings continue driving stocks higher so far under President Trump, even as tariffs, tax policy, oil prices, and geopolitical conflict have created volatility.

Affordability

Analysis: Assessing inflation’s impact

October 15, 2026
Higher prices are vexing consumers and policymakers alike.

Capital markets and the economy

Stay a step ahead with market and economic insights that can help inform your investing strategy.

Red and white for sale sign in front of a house.

HOUSING MARKET

The impact of today’s interest rates on the housing market

October 28, 2026
Even as housing supply improves, affordability continues to challenge buyers because higher interest rates and prices elevate monthly payments.

Couple looking at a shop window while considering purchases.

CONSUMERS

How consumer spending supports U.S. economic growth

October 22, 2026
Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. Strong retail sales, low layoffs, and continued wage gains support household demand, although higher prices and weak confidence keep the outlook uneven.

Commodities Market

How commodity prices can impact markets and inflation

October 21, 2026
What opportunities do today’s volatile commodities market offer investors?

Labor Market

Job market’s effect on the economy

October 9, 2026
The September jobs report showed slower hiring but limited layoffs, while growing incomes and larger tax refunds have helped households sustain consumer spending.

Insights and analysis

Read the latest thought leadership from the U.S. Bank Asset Management Group.

Monetary Policy

What Federal Reserve monetary policy means for investors

October 30, 2026
The Federal Reserve influences borrowing costs, savings returns and financial conditions across the economy.

CONSUMERS

How midterm elections affect the stock market

October 28, 2026
A look at historical equity market performance around midterm elections.

U.S. Treasuries

U.S. Treasuries: Balancing income and diversification opportunities with policy risks

September 24, 2026
Opportunities and risks impacting Treasury bond investors.

National Debt

The impact of U.S. national debt on investments

August 27, 2026
As the national debt continues to grow, investors should understand how government borrowing can influence interest rates, financial markets and the broader economy.

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U.S. Bank and its representatives do not provide tax or legal advice. Your tax and financial situation is unique. You should consult your tax and/or legal advisor for advice and information concerning your particular situation.

The information provided represents the opinion of U.S. Bank and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or guarantee of future results. It is not intended to provide specific investment advice and should not be construed as an offering of securities or recommendation to invest. Not for use as a primary basis of investment decisions. Not to be construed to meet the needs of any particular investor. Not a representation or solicitation or an offer to sell/buy any security. Investors should consult with their investment professional for advice concerning their particular situation.

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